Former President Trump narrowly beat President Biden in a new national poll by only 1 point.
The Emerson College survey, released Thursday, found that 46 percent of voters back the former president, while Biden has 45 percent. Around 8 percent of people said they were unsure before the November election.
However, Trump's extremely small advantage is within the margin of error, essentially making the contest a tie.
When undecided voters were asked which candidate they would lean towards, Trump gained an additional point. According to the poll, the former president received 51 percent while Biden got 49 percent.
Even when third-party candidates are included, Trump still keeps a slight lead, as the number of undecided voters decreased, as shown in the survey.
In this scenario, Trump got 43 percent compared to Biden’s 42 percent. Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. secured 8 percent. Another 6 percent were undecided, while independent candidate Cornell West and Green Party candidate Jill Stein each received 1 percent, according to the poll.
Although Trump is ahead among registered voters, Biden surpassed the former president with likely voters, obtaining 51 percent compared to Trump’s 49 percent.
Spencer Kimbell, executive director of Emerson College Polling, commented, “This challenges the idea that Trump supporters are more motivated. This is the first time this election cycle that the Emerson Poll has included a general election voting intention question.”
Trump is leading by 3 percent among independent voters, obtaining 44 percent against Biden’s 41 percent, with 14 percent remaining undecided. With third-party candidates factored in, the former president maintains his three-point lead over Biden, while Kennedy rises to 10 percent, according to the poll.
Biden’s approval rating in the survey was at 40 percent, while 51 percent expressed disapproval of his performance as president. About 9 percent of respondents said they were neutral about the president.
The primary concern for voters in the survey was the economy, comprising 35 percent. Immigration came next at 22 percent, followed by threats to democracy at 13 percent, health care at 7 percent, and crime at 6 percent.
The Emerson College Polling national survey was carried out from April 2-3 among 1,438 registered voters. The margin of error is 2.5 percentage points.
–Updated at 8:42 a.m.
