In a new poll, Former President Trump is leading President Biden by just two points in Florida. Florida has been a stronghold for Republicans in recent elections, but it is considered a swing state.
The poll A recent poll from the University of North Florida (UNF) revealed that 47 percent of likely voters prefer Trump, while 45 percent favor Biden. 4 percent intend to vote for another candidate, 2 percent do not plan to vote, and 3 percent are undecided or refused to answer.
The poll findings suggest that the upcoming November race in Florida could be very close, according to Michael Binder, the faculty director of the Public Opinion Research lab at UNF. Michael Binder, the faculty director of the Public Opinion Research lab at UNF, highlighted in a statement that the findings indicate a potentially very close race.
In 2020, Trump won Florida by a similar margin, obtaining over 51 percent of the vote compared to Biden's 48 percent.
In 2016, Trump had about 49 percent of the vote, while Hillary Clinton had 47 percent.
Florida holds 30 electoral votes and is a significant state in the presidential election. Decision Desk HQ is currently predicting that Trump will win Florida in November. Decision Desk HQ is presently making predictions. Decision Desk HQ's current prediction is that Trump will win Florida in November.
While Biden seems to be gaining support in Florida, he has also lost some voters who previously voted for him in 2020.
According to pollsters, 6 percent of respondents who voted for Biden in 2020 plan to vote for Trump in 2024, and 4 percent will choose a different candidate. Only 2 percent of 2020 Trump voters intend to switch to Biden this November, while another 2 percent will vote for someone else.
The findings come weeks after the Biden reelection campaign announced its intention to win Florida. is seeking to flip Florida. In a memo released earlier this month, campaign manager Julie Chavez Rodriguez stated that investing in Florida is part of Biden’s strategy to reach 270 electoral votes.
Julie Chavez Rodriguez stated, “Make no mistake: Florida is not an easy state to win, but it is a winnable one for President Biden, especially given Trump’s weak, cash-strapped campaign, and serious vulnerabilities within his coalition.”
Biden visited Florida on Tuesday to speak about reproductive rights, marking his first visit to the state since its state Supreme Court cleared the way for a policy that effectively bans most abortions from May 1.
On Tuesday, Biden mentioned, “You wouldn’t know it from what you read and hear, but, you know, we’re in pretty good shape in the polls.”
This decision, along with a series of other controversial policies in the state, has boosted Democratic hopes that they could cause an unexpected win in the state this November.
The recent poll follows several other findings showing Biden starting to pull ahead in some other states or national polls released this month.
A New York Times/Siena College poll published April 13 found Biden trailing Trump nationally by 1 percentage point, an improvement from a February poll that showed Trump leading by 5 percentage points.
An NBC News national survey that came out this week revealed that Biden reduced Trump’s advantage from 5 percentage points in January to 2 percentage points this month.
The UNF survey took place from April 8 to April 20, 2024, and involved 745 probable voters. The overall margin of error is approximately 4.2 percentage points.
